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Bitcoin downside contract slips as Polymarket pricing puts probability at 7.5 percent

The move was ranked eighth in PolymarketTrader's November 5 biggest-movers snapshot from the Polymarket Gamma API, generated at 03:40 UTC. The contract traded 120,400 dollars in 24 hours with 165,300 dollars in liquidity.

According to PolymarketTrader, the Polymarket contract on Bitcoin dipping to 55,000 dollars by December 31, 2026 fell 4 percentage points to 7.5 percent.

The decline indicates a lower market-implied probability of that outcome. It is a change in the contract’s pricing, not a reported move in Bitcoin’s price.

Eighth-largest move in the snapshot

The contract ranked eighth in PolymarketTrader’s November 5 biggest-movers snapshot, according to the outlet. The snapshot used the Polymarket Gamma API and was generated at 03:40 UTC.

PolymarketTrader reported 120,400 dollars in trading over 24 hours and 165,300 dollars in liquidity for the contract. The report was published on Nov 5, 2026 at 12:45 AM ET.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 7.5 percent reading reflects pricing for the specific outcome of Bitcoin dipping to 55,000 dollars by December 31, 2026—not a general forecast of its year-end price.
  • The 4-percentage-point decline placed the contract eighth in this snapshot’s biggest-movers ranking; that ranking is tied to the snapshot rather than a broader period.
  • Trading volume and liquidity provide context for the move, but the supplied report does not identify what drove the repricing.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
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