Polymarket pricing favors Scott Colom as Mississippi draws heavy trading
The Mississippi market was among the most traded politics markets in PolymarketTrader's November 5 snapshot. A related Polymarket market on the closest Senate race put Mississippi at 86.6 percent, and its first-round margin market priced a Democratic win at 96.1 percent.
According to PolymarketTrader’s November 5 snapshot, Scott Colom was priced at 97.8 percent to win the Mississippi Senate election on Polymarket. The market recorded 3.29 million dollars in trading over 24 hours.
Mississippi stands out in politics trading
The Mississippi contest ranked among the most traded politics markets in that snapshot, according to PolymarketTrader. The report was published Nov 5, 2026, at 1:00 AM ET.
A separate Polymarket contract asking which Senate race would be closest assigned Mississippi an 86.6 percent probability. That pricing favored Mississippi relative to other races on a different question—not who would win, but which contest would have the narrowest result.
Related contracts favor a Democratic result
PolymarketTrader also reported that Mississippi’s first-round margin market priced a Democratic win at 96.1 percent. Alongside Colom’s 97.8 percent reading, that provided another measure of market expectations for the outcome.
The supplied snapshot does not include earlier prices or final election results. It therefore establishes the reported pricing and trading activity at that point, rather than a price trend or a confirmed outcome.
What it means for prediction markets
- Outcome and closeness are distinct: Colom’s 97.8 percent win probability and Mississippi’s 86.6 percent probability of being the closest Senate race address different outcomes.
- Related prices are not interchangeable: The 96.1 percent Democratic-win reading came from a first-round margin market, rather than the Colom winner contract.
- Volume measures activity, not certainty: The 3.29 million dollars traded over 24 hours underscores interest in the Mississippi winner market, but does not confirm its forecast.
Sources & attribution
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