Infiniti Intelligence.
Deep dives into prediction-market mechanics, venue security and settlement risk.
Research archive
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcome of real-world events. How event contracts work, what prices mean, and how to place your first trade on Kalshi or Polymarket.
Spread, depth and slippage on Polymarket's order books — how to tell whether the price you see is the price you'll actually get.
Election and sports contracts both settle at $1 or $0, but their information flow, liquidity cycles and edge sources are completely different animals.
Who decides whether a contract pays $1 or $0, how disputes are handled, and why the resolution source matters more than the market title.
How much of your bankroll to risk on a single event contract — the Kelly formula, fractional Kelly, and why most traders should bet far less than full Kelly.
How 15-minute up/down crypto contracts work, what drives their pricing, and the discipline required to trade them without churning your account.
Who provides the liquidity on Kalshi and Polymarket, how market makers set their quotes, and what their behavior tells you about fair value.
The five errors that account for most prediction market losses — and the specific habit that fixes each one.
A novice's guide to entering prediction market trading: open a free Infiniti Terminal account, link Polymarket or Kalshi API keys safely, and test strategies in paper mode before risking capital.
Deploying AI trading agents for Polymarket event contracts means connecting an autonomous execution layer to binary YES/NO markets so trades fire on logic, not instinct.
Choosing between Infiniti Markets and Kairos for prediction market trading comes down to one question: do you need automated strategy execution or low-latency unified order routing?
To backtest prediction market strategies on Kalshi historical data, you need to pull event-contract data via Kalshi's API, build a friction-aware simulator, and measure performance with metrics suited to binary markets.
Active prediction market traders who rely on manual dashboards are already losing ground.
A prediction market trading terminal is worth paying for in 2026 if you trade frequently across both Polymarket and Kalshi, run automated strategies, or need quantitative analysis beyond what native interfaces provide.
No-code routes to running Polymarket arbitrage — where the edges actually are, what tooling executes them, and the execution risks that eat theoretical spread.
A source-verified review of the security surface an institutional participant inherits when trading Polymarket: the Polygon settlement layer, the conditional-token collateral model, the hybrid order book, smart-wallet custody, API authentication, and the optimistic oracle that decides who gets paid.
Your API keys are only as safe as the bot handling them. Permission scoping, AES-256 at rest, TLS 1.3 in transit, key rotation and how Kalshi and Polymarket authentication actually differ.
Side-by-side venue mechanics — maker/taker economics, order-book depth, settlement rules and the regulatory posture behind each book.