Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Bitcoin’s upper price bracket gains ground ahead of Polymarket resolution

The November 4 Bitcoin price market on Polymarket, resolving at 17:00 UTC, puts the 78,000 to 80,000 dollar range at 70 percent, ahead of 76,000 to 78,000 at 27 percent, on about 84,000 dollars in total volume. Bitcoin traded in a 24-hour spot range of 76,641 to 78,853 dollars heading into the resolution.

Polymarket’s November 4 Bitcoin price market assigned a 70 percent probability to the $78,000 to $80,000 range, according to Lines. That was an increase of 51 percentage points.

The update, published on Nov 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, placed the $76,000 to $78,000 bracket second at 27 percent. Total market volume was about $84,000.

Spot range spans the leading outcomes

The contract resolves at 17:00 UTC on November 4. Its probabilities therefore concern Bitcoin’s price at that specified resolution time, rather than its full-day trading range.

Heading into resolution, Bitcoin’s 24-hour spot range was $76,641 to $78,853, according to Lines. That interval crossed the $78,000 boundary separating the two leading brackets.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 51-percentage-point rise marks a substantial repricing toward the $78,000 to $80,000 outcome, though its 70 percent probability does not establish the result.
  • The lower bracket retained a 27 percent probability, leaving meaningful uncertainty between the two leading outcomes.
  • The reported spot range provides context, but the contract’s 17:00 UTC resolution time is the relevant reference point for interpreting the market.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Lineslines.com
    Publisher
    https://www.lines.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Lines”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related