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Caleb Wilson rookie award pricing diverges across Polymarket and Kalshi

Caleb Wilson is priced at 6 cents on Polymarket against 13 cents on Kalshi in the NBA Rookie of the Year market, the widest gap in WinDailySports' November comparison of major markets. Joe Burrow shows a similar split in the NFL MVP market at 14 cents on Polymarket against 21 cents on Kalshi, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander sits at 11 cents against 15 cents for NBA MVP.

Wilson leads the November comparison

Caleb Wilson’s NBA Rookie of the Year contract shows the widest cross-venue pricing difference in WinDailySports’ November comparison of major markets, according to the outlet. Wilson is priced at 6 cents on Polymarket and 13 cents on Kalshi.

The supplied headline describes the difference as 6.6 points, while the listed whole-cent prices imply a 7-cent spread. The material does not include more precise prices to reconcile those figures.

Other award markets show similar splits

Joe Burrow’s NFL MVP contract also trades higher on Kalshi, according to WinDailySports. His price is 14 cents on Polymarket versus 21 cents on Kalshi—a 7-cent difference using the supplied figures.

The NBA MVP comparison shows a smaller separation for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 11 cents on Polymarket against 15 cents on Kalshi. Across all three examples, Kalshi carries the higher price, although the supplied material does not explain why.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Venue matters: The same named award contender carries materially different prices across the two platforms in each example.
  • Precision affects comparisons: Wilson’s reported 6.6-point gap differs from the spread calculated using the listed whole-cent prices, limiting an exact ranking against Burrow.
  • Price differences alone are incomplete: The material provides no information about liquidity, transaction costs or contract terms, so it does not establish whether these gaps represent executable opportunities.
KalshiPolymarketNFLInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    WinDailySports
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