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Bitcoin leads Polymarket perpetuals turnover as large traders close shorts

Polywatcher reports Polymarket perpetual futures had traded 92.10 million dollars in Bitcoin in its latest hour through November 4, 07:26 UTC, ahead of 35.74 million dollars in the S and P 500 index product and 17.18 million dollars in SK Hynix stock. Its latest whale orders of 50,000 dollars or more included a 100,100 dollar Bitcoin short close at 78,235.07 dollars and a 98,100 dollar NEAR open short.

According to Polywatcher, Bitcoin trading on Polymarket perpetual futures totaled 92.10 million dollars in the latest hour through November 4, 07:26 UTC. That put it ahead of the other products identified in the report.

Bitcoin tops the reported activity

The S and P 500 index product recorded 35.74 million dollars in trading, while SK Hynix stock accounted for 17.18 million dollars, according to Polywatcher.

The figures provide an hourly snapshot of turnover, rather than a measure of traders’ net directional exposure. The update was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 3:30 AM ET.

Large orders show different positioning moves

Polywatcher’s latest whale-order list, covering orders of 50,000 dollars or more, included a 100,100 dollar Bitcoin short close at 78,235.07 dollars.

The list also included a 98,100 dollar NEAR open short. These entries distinguish an exit from a Bitcoin short position from the opening of a NEAR short; they do not establish a broader shift in positioning.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Bitcoin had the highest hourly turnover among the three products cited, making it the main focus of reported activity in this snapshot.
  • The Bitcoin short close and NEAR open short represent different position changes, not a uniform directional signal.
  • The supplied figures concern perpetual-futures turnover and orders; they do not provide event-contract prices or implied probabilities.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    Polywatcher
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