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Mary Peltola leads tracked trader consensus in Alaska Senate market

PolyConsensus reports that among roughly 2,000 tracked top Polymarket traders, 87 of the 131 holding the Alaska Senate market held Yes on Mary Peltola as of 08:21 UTC on November 4, at a price of 86 cents. The tracked wallets held about 647,000 dollars on that side, making it the top consensus market on the board.

Mary Peltola’s Yes side in Polymarket’s Alaska Senate market had the strongest consensus on the board among tracked top traders, according to PolyConsensus. The snapshot showed 87 of 131 holders positioned on Yes.

Positioning at the snapshot

PolyConsensus tracks roughly 2,000 top Polymarket traders. Of that group, 131 held positions in the Alaska Senate market; the reported majority therefore refers to traders holding that market, not the full tracked population.

As of 08:21 UTC on November 4, Yes on Mary Peltola was priced at 86 cents. The tracked wallets held about $647,000 on that side, according to PolyConsensus.

The report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 4:00 AM ET. Its figures describe positioning at the stated snapshot rather than changes in holdings over time.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Consensus has a defined scope: The 87 Yes holders were drawn from 131 market participants within roughly 2,000 tracked top traders—not all Polymarket users.
  • Price and holdings measure different things: The 86-cent price describes the Yes contract’s market level, while about $647,000 reflects the tracked wallets’ holdings on that side.
  • The signal is positioning, not a result: The top consensus ranking indicates alignment among tracked traders; it does not establish the election outcome.
PolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PolyConsensus
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Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PolyConsensus”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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