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Bitcoin short closure leads whale activity in Polymarket futures snapshot

Polywatcher reports Polymarket perpetual futures traded 266.20 million dollars in Bitcoin and 22.29 million dollars in West Texas Intermediate oil in its latest hourly read, through 06:01 UTC on November 4. The largest whale order shown was a 779,400 dollar close of a Bitcoin short, followed by a 107,500 dollar close of a Zcash long.

According to Polywatcher, Polymarket perpetual futures recorded $266.20 million in Bitcoin trading in its latest hourly snapshot, through 06:01 UTC on November 4, 2026.

West Texas Intermediate oil accounted for $22.29 million in trading over the same window. The figures place Bitcoin well ahead of oil in the reported activity.

Largest orders involved closing positions

The largest whale order shown was a $779,400 transaction closing a Bitcoin short, according to Polywatcher. Next was a $107,500 transaction closing a Zcash long.

Both orders reduced existing positions rather than opened new ones. That distinction matters when interpreting the snapshot: a short closure is not itself a new long position, just as a long closure is not a new short.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The figures describe perpetual futures trading, not event-contract probabilities, and should not be read as implied odds.
  • Bitcoin led West Texas Intermediate oil in reported trading volume, but the snapshot alone does not establish a directional outlook for either market.
  • The whale-order ranking covers the orders shown in this hourly read; it does not establish a broader trend in positioning.
PolymarketBitcoinOilInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    Polywatcher
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