Kalshi’s WTI threshold market draws $10.7 million in trading
Kalshi's commodities board shows 10.7 million dollars traded on its market for how high WTI crude oil will get by the end of next month, with the market for WTI above 100.49 dollars today drawing 79,028 dollars. Its gold price market for today prices gold above 3,904 dollars at 1.76 times, on 47,848 dollars traded.
Kalshi’s commodities board shows $10.7 million traded on a market asking how high WTI crude oil will reach by the end of next month, according to Kalshi. The snapshot was published Nov 2, 2026, at 2:45 AM ET.
Oil markets span different time horizons
A separate market tied to whether WTI will be above $100.49 today has attracted $79,028 in trading, according to Kalshi. That puts its reported volume well below the longer-horizon oil market.
The figures describe trading activity, not the likelihood of either oil outcome. The supplied snapshot includes no price or probability for either WTI contract.
Gold contract carries a quoted multiple
Kalshi’s gold price market for today lists gold above $3,904 at 1.76 times, with $47,848 traded, according to Kalshi. The threshold is a contract condition, not a reported spot gold price.
The snapshot therefore offers different information across the commodities: trading volumes for both WTI markets, and a quoted multiple alongside volume for gold. It does not provide earlier readings that would establish how activity or pricing has changed.
What it means for prediction markets
- Volume is not conviction: The $10.7 million WTI figure measures trading activity; it does not establish an implied probability.
- Time horizons matter: The oil market running through the end of next month and the $100.49 threshold market for today address different outcomes.
- Gold pricing needs context: The 1.76-times quote accompanies the above-$3,904 contract, but the supplied material does not explain its pricing convention or settlement terms.
Sources & attribution
- Published
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- Kalshikalshi.com
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- https://kalshi.com
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