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Seattle holds 61 percent probability as Kalshi football trading volume rises

Kalshi's market page for the November 2 Monday Night Football game shows 3,267,286 dollars traded, up from about 1.86 million dollars reported on November 1, with the Seahawks at 61 percent and the Bears at 39 percent. The spread market centers on Seattle by about 3.5 points and the total on about 46.5 points, with kickoff at 8:15 PM ET.

Kalshi’s market for the November 2 Monday Night Football game between the Bears and Seahawks showed $3,267,286 traded, according to Kalshi’s market page. Seattle was priced at 61 percent, with Chicago at 39 percent.

The figures, published on Nov 2, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET, put reported trading volume above the approximately $1.86 million reported on November 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 PM ET.

Seattle favored across game markets

The Seahawks’ 61 percent price makes Seattle the favorite in the game-winner market. The supplied figures do not include an earlier probability reading, so the increase in volume does not establish whether sentiment has shifted toward either team.

According to Kalshi, the spread market centers on Seattle by about 3.5 points, while the total centers on about 46.5 points. Those markets provide separate measures of the expected margin and combined scoring alongside the outright winner probabilities.

What it means for prediction markets

  • More trading, not necessarily a directional shift: Reported volume rose from about $1.86 million on November 1 to $3,267,286, but no earlier winner prices were provided for comparison.
  • Seattle leads the pricing: The Seahawks stand at 61 percent versus the Bears at 39 percent; those prices express market probabilities, not a certain outcome.
  • Distinct outcomes remain in focus: The winner, roughly 3.5-point spread and roughly 46.5-point total markets address different questions ahead of the 8:15 PM ET kickoff.
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Sources & attribution

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