El-Sayed leads Michigan Senate pricing as traders approach November 3 resolution
CoinStats' most-traded board, read early on November 2, prices Abdul El-Sayed at 79 percent as the favourite in the Michigan Senate market resolving November 3, with 3.7 million dollars traded in 24 hours across Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. James Talarico was next among Senate races at 74 percent in Texas with 4.3 million dollars traded in 24 hours.
According to CoinStats, Abdul El-Sayed was the favourite in the Michigan Senate prediction market at 79 percent when its most-traded board was read early on November 2.
The market recorded 3.7 million dollars in trading over 24 hours across Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. Its resolution date is November 3.
Michigan pricing and the Texas comparison
CoinStats’ next-listed Senate race featured James Talarico in Texas, priced at 74 percent. That market recorded 4.3 million dollars in trading over 24 hours.
The comparison puts El-Sayed at a higher implied probability, while the Texas market drew more trading volume. The figures were reported in the November 2, 2026 update published at 3:15 AM ET.
What it means for prediction markets
- Pricing is not an outcome: El-Sayed’s 79 percent reading and Talarico’s 74 percent reading reflect market expectations, not confirmed results.
- Volume and probability differ: Texas attracted 4.3 million dollars over 24 hours, compared with Michigan’s 3.7 million dollars, despite its lower leading probability.
- Venue detail is limited: Michigan’s volume spans Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi; the supplied summary does not break out individual venues’ prices or trading totals.
- Resolution timing matters: The Michigan market is scheduled to resolve November 3, following the early November 2 snapshot.
Sources & attribution
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