Iran regime contract shows split signals at 5 percent
CoinStats reports its Polymarket whale and smart-money snapshot priced the contract on the Iranian regime falling before 2027 at 5 percent, with about 117,000 dollars in signal volume from two flagged wallets. The snapshot scored the positioning as mixed, with whales buying No and smart-money wallets scored as strong Yes.
A Polymarket contract on the Iranian regime falling before 2027 was priced at 5 percent in a whale and smart-money snapshot, according to CoinStats. The snapshot recorded about 117,000 dollars in signal volume from two flagged wallets.
Wallet signals point in opposite directions
CoinStats classified the positioning as mixed. Whales were buying No, while smart-money wallets received a strong Yes score, leaving the two tracked categories on opposite sides of the outcome.
That distinction matters: the snapshot paired a low contract price with conflicting wallet signals, rather than identifying a common direction among the flagged participants.
A limited view of positioning
The report, published Nov 4, 2026 · 2:30 AM ET, describes signal volume tied to two flagged wallets. The supplied summary does not establish that the roughly 117,000 dollars represents total trading volume in the contract.
It also provides no detail on the contract’s resolution criteria or how CoinStats assigns its wallet classifications and signal scores. Those gaps limit what can be concluded from the mixed assessment.
What it means for prediction markets
- Price and positioning are distinct: The 5 percent price is separate from CoinStats’ assessment of the tracked wallets.
- The signals disagree: Whale No purchases and a strong Yes score for smart-money wallets do not establish a unified directional signal.
- Coverage is narrow: About 117,000 dollars in signal volume from two flagged wallets is not, on the supplied information, a measure of market-wide participation.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- CoinStats
- Publisher
- The publisher did not list a web address.
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to CoinStats”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Polymarket sweep market rises above 90 percent as midterm results land, after 61 million dollars traded on its balance-of-power contract, FinanceFeeds reports
- Polymarket whale money reaches 16.2 million dollars across 1,126 large trades in 24 hours, led by Democratic House control at 5.8 million dollars, Rivo reports
- A 779,400 dollar close of a Bitcoin short is the largest whale order in the latest Polymarket perpetual futures read, Polywatcher reports
- Top Polymarket traders lean to Mary Peltola in the Alaska Senate race, with 87 of 131 tracked holders on Yes at 86 cents and 647,000 dollars held, PolyConsensus reports
- Polymarket's 24-hour profit board has a new leader, with fantasy7788 up $179.1K
- Polymarket House control market trades 45.7 million dollars cumulatively, 2.2 times its Senate market, TMA Street reports