Infiniti FeedNov 5, 2026 · 2:30 AM ET

Variational valuation contract draws $3.9 million in trading on Polymarket

World Monitor tracks the Variational FDV market among the most traded Polymarket questions in its November 5 snapshot, priced at 85.5 percent. The contract, on whether Variational's fully diluted valuation tops 500 million dollars one day after launch, has traded 3.9 million dollars.

According to World Monitor’s November 5 snapshot, Polymarket’s contract on whether Variational’s fully diluted valuation exceeds $500 million one day after launch was priced at 85.5 percent.

The snapshot placed the question among Polymarket’s most traded markets, with $3.9 million traded.

A valuation threshold with a specific deadline

The contract concerns Variational’s fully diluted valuation at a defined point: one day after launch. Its threshold is above $500 million, rather than merely reaching that figure.

World Monitor’s update, published Nov 5, 2026, at 2:30 AM ET, provides a price and trading-volume snapshot. The supplied summary does not include a launch date, settlement methodology or earlier prices against which to measure a change.

What it means for prediction markets

The 85.5 percent price indicates that the market favored an outcome above the threshold at the time of the snapshot; it does not establish the eventual valuation.
The $3.9 million traded and inclusion among the most traded questions indicate substantial activity, but the summary does not provide current liquidity or bid-ask spreads.
The one-day-after-launch measurement window is central to the question. Without the contract’s settlement details, the summary alone cannot establish how that valuation will be verified.

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Sources & attribution

Published: Nov 5, 2026 · 2:30 AM ET

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World Monitor
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Variational valuation contract draws $3.9 million in trading on Polymarket

A valuation threshold with a specific deadline

What it means for prediction markets

Sources & attribution

Related

A valuation threshold with a specific deadline

What it means for prediction markets