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MegaETH airdrop odds sit at 11 percent amid substantial trading

World Monitor lists the MegaETH airdrop market among the 15 most traded markets it tracks in its November 5 snapshot. The contract closes around January 1, 2027 and has traded 2.6 million dollars on Polymarket.

A Polymarket contract on whether MegaETH will perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 is priced at 11 percent, according to World Monitor. The market has recorded 2.6 million dollars in trading volume.

Trading activity and timing

World Monitor includes the contract among the 15 most traded markets it tracks in its November 5 snapshot. That ranking describes activity within its tracked markets, rather than a platform-wide ranking.

The report was published on Nov 5, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. Its snapshot pairs a low price for the airdrop outcome with substantial cumulative trading activity; volume alone does not establish which outcome traders favor.

The contract closes around January 1, 2027, according to World Monitor. That approximate closing date is distinct from the December 31, 2026 deadline specified for the airdrop.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing: The 11 percent quote indicates that the market assigns a low implied probability to an airdrop by December 31, 2026, not that the outcome is settled.
  • Activity: The 2.6 million dollars traded measures cumulative volume, not current liquidity or the number of participants.
  • Resolution: The supplied summary does not include the contract’s detailed resolution criteria, limiting assessment of what would qualify as an airdrop.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    World Monitor
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