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Hall of Fame expansion contracts diverge as December odds slip

PredictionBubbles, on its other markets board, lists the December 1, 2026 expansion deadline contract at 83 percent with 13,000 dollars traded. The longer dated version, for completion before February 1, 2027, rises 6 points to 80 percent on 22,000 dollars traded.

According to PredictionBubbles, the Kalshi contract tracking whether the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame will finish its 50,000 square foot museum expansion before December 1, 2026 fell 7 points to 83 percent.

The update, published Nov 5, 2026 at 1:15 AM ET, places the contract on PredictionBubbles’ other markets board, with 13,000 dollars traded.

Later deadline gains ground

The longer-dated contract, covering completion before February 1, 2027, moved in the opposite direction. According to PredictionBubbles, it rose 6 points to 80 percent, with 22,000 dollars traded.

Despite that increase, the February contract remained 3 points below the December contract. The later deadline also had 9,000 dollars more in reported trading volume.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The December contract weakened while the February contract strengthened, leaving the two reported probabilities closer together.
  • The later deadline carried a lower probability despite allowing more time for completion. The supplied material does not include contract rules or pricing details that would explain that ordering.
  • These figures describe market movements, not a confirmed change in the expansion schedule; no construction-progress update was provided.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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