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Bitcoin downside bets retreat as November contracts lose probability

PredictionBubbles ranks the contract as the biggest crypto move in 24 hours, with 247,000 dollars traded. The contract on a dip to 72,500 dollars also fell, down 19 points to 31.5 percent.

Polymarket’s contract on Bitcoin dipping to 75,000 dollars in November fell 22.5 percentage points to 47 percent, according to PredictionBubbles. The update was published Nov 4, 2026, at 7:15 PM ET.

Two downside contracts move lower

PredictionBubbles ranked the 75,000-dollar contract as the largest crypto-market move over 24 hours. It recorded 247,000 dollars in trading volume.

The contract on Bitcoin dipping to 72,500 dollars also declined, falling 19 percentage points to 31.5 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.

Both contracts therefore showed lower market-implied chances of the specified downside levels being reached. The supplied summary did not identify a catalyst for either move.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 75,000-dollar contract ended below 50 percent, at 47 percent, after the larger of the two reported declines.
  • The 72,500-dollar contract stood at 31.5 percent, leaving a 15.5-percentage-point gap between the two contracts.
  • The 247,000 dollars in reported volume applies to the 75,000-dollar contract; the summary supplied no volume figure for the 72,500-dollar contract.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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