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Kalshi prices China Moon outcome at 35.5 cents amid fresh trading

The contract traded with a 0.7 cent spread in the tracker snapshot, with 56,498 contracts traded in total. Each contract pays 1 dollar if the outcome occurs.

China was priced at 35.5 cents on Kalshi to be the next country to send humans to the Moon, according to BotForKalshi. The update was published on Nov 6, 2026, at 9:45 AM ET.

Each contract pays 1 dollar if the outcome occurs. The quoted price therefore corresponds to a market-implied probability of 35.5%, rather than a confirmed assessment of China’s prospects.

Trading activity and spread

BotForKalshi recorded 1,464 contracts traded over 24 hours, with total trading volume reaching 56,498 contracts. Those figures measure contracts exchanged, not the number of individual traders.

The tracker snapshot showed a 0.7 cent spread. The supplied information does not include earlier prices, so it does not establish whether the market had moved toward or away from China.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing: At 35.5 cents for a contract paying 1 dollar on the outcome, the snapshot places China’s implied probability below 50%.
  • Activity: The 1,464 contracts traded in 24 hours show recent participation, but do not establish a directional change in sentiment.
  • Scope: The contract concerns the next country to send humans to the Moon; the supplied summary gives no deadline or detailed settlement criteria.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    BotForKalshi
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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