Spurs favored across Kalshi and Polymarket as combined cost exceeds dollar
ArbTrader lists the Spurs as the heavy favorite in Friday's 10:00 PM ET game against the Kings, with prices nearly identical on both exchanges. Buying both teams across the two venues costs about 102 cents combined.
Spurs prices closely aligned
San Antonio Spurs contracts are priced at 89 cents on Kalshi and 88 cents on Polymarket for Friday night’s game against the Sacramento Kings, according to ArbTrader.
The matchup is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET on Nov 6, 2026. The pricing summary was published that day at 10:45 AM ET.
Cross-venue coverage costs about 102 cents
The Spurs are the heavy favorite on both exchanges, according to ArbTrader. Just 1 cent separates their prices, leaving little difference between the two venues’ assessments.
ArbTrader puts the combined cost of buying both teams across the two venues at about 102 cents. That total is above a dollar, rather than the below-dollar cost needed for a straightforward two-outcome arbitrage before any additional costs.
What it means for prediction markets
- Similar favorite pricing: Kalshi’s 89-cent Spurs price and Polymarket’s 88-cent price show close alignment, not a substantial cross-exchange disagreement.
- Coverage is not a discount: The reported combined cost of about 102 cents does not indicate a below-dollar opportunity to cover both outcomes.
- Timing matters: These figures come from the Nov 6, 2026, 10:45 AM ET summary, ahead of the 10:00 PM ET game; they should not be treated as final pregame prices.
Sources & attribution
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