Yemen ceasefire contract draws $2.6 million as November deadline approaches
World Monitor lists the ceasefire market among the 15 most traded contracts it tracks across Polymarket and Kalshi. The market closes November 30, 2026.
A Polymarket contract on whether the United States and Yemen ceasefire will continue through November 30 is priced at 88.5 percent, according to World Monitor.
The contract has recorded 2.6 million dollars in trading. Its price favors the ceasefire continuing through the stated deadline, but does not establish that outcome.
Trading activity and deadline
World Monitor includes the ceasefire contract among the 15 most traded contracts it tracks across Polymarket and Kalshi. That ranking applies to its tracked contracts, rather than necessarily to every market on the two platforms.
The report was published on Nov 6, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET. The market closes November 30, 2026, leaving the remaining period as the focus for traders assessing whether the ceasefire will hold.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 88.5 percent price indicates that the contract favors continuation, while still allowing for a different outcome.
- Trading of 2.6 million dollars and inclusion among World Monitor’s 15 most traded tracked contracts establish its prominence within that selection.
- The supplied information gives the closing date but not detailed resolution criteria, limiting conclusions about how particular developments would affect settlement.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- World Monitor
- Publisher
- The publisher did not list a web address.
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to World Monitor”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Polymarket says 98.4 percent of resolved midterm races went to its pre-election favorite, 419 of 426, World Today Journal reports
- Alaska Senate market volume on Kalshi climbs to 28.4 million dollars, nearly double the Wednesday total, as Peltola leads by 637 votes, Action Network reports
- Sports prediction markets trade 426 million dollars in 24 hours, down 11 percent, with Kalshi handling 236 million dollars, DeFi Rate reports
- Foley and Lardner maps the circuit split over sports event contracts as prediction market litigation heads toward the Supreme Court
- Fed decision in December ranks third among the most-traded prediction markets, with a 25 basis point increase priced at 69 cents on Polymarket, DeFi Rate reports
- Kalshi files its opposition to Utah's preliminary-injunction request in the state's civil case, arguing its event contracts fall within Utah's lawful-business-transaction exception