Hegseth departure contracts show narrow price gap across prediction exchanges
CoinStats lists the Hegseth departure market among the most traded contracts priced on both venues, resolving November 30, 2026. The two exchanges price the outcome two cents apart.
According to CoinStats, contracts on Pete Hegseth leaving his role as Secretary of Defense by November 30 were priced at 22 cents on Polymarket and 24 cents on Kalshi.
Prices and trading activity
The figures put Kalshi two cents above Polymarket for the same departure outcome. CoinStats lists the Hegseth market among the most traded contracts available on both venues.
Reported trading volume was 349,000 dollars over 24 hours. The supplied summary does not break that total down by exchange.
Deadline in focus
The report, published November 6, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET, identifies November 30, 2026, as the market’s resolution date. Its pricing concerns a departure by that deadline, rather than Hegseth’s longer-term tenure.
The supplied material provides no explanation for the prices or trading activity, and no further details about the contracts’ resolution rules.
What it means for prediction markets
- Venue comparison: Kalshi’s 24-cent price is two cents higher than Polymarket’s 22-cent price for the stated outcome.
- Trading interest: The reported 349,000 dollars in 24-hour volume establishes activity, but the summary does not show how it was distributed between venues.
- Resolution scope: November 30, 2026, is the stated endpoint; the supplied material does not specify the precise conditions required to settle the contracts.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- CoinStats
- Publisher
- The publisher did not list a web address.
- Source URL
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