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Saudi match draw shows sharp pricing split between Polymarket and Kalshi

CoinStats, in its paired board updated at 12:58 UTC on November 5 across 852 events listed on both venues, prices the draw 85 cents apart between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Saudi match resolving November 5. CoinStats notes very large gaps can reflect different settlement terms between venues.

The draw outcome for Al Qadisiyah against Al Fayha was priced at 99 cents on Polymarket and 14 cents on Kalshi, according to CoinStats. The 85-cent difference concerns the Saudi match resolving November 5.

The market recorded 266,000 dollars in trading over 24 hours, according to CoinStats. The supplied figures do not break that volume down by venue.

A wide gap on a paired board

CoinStats’ paired board was updated at 12:58 UTC on November 5 and covered 852 events listed on both venues. The report was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 8:15 AM ET.

The draw prices show a substantial difference between the two platforms, but the comparison alone does not establish that the contracts have identical resolution requirements. CoinStats notes that very large gaps can reflect different settlement terms between venues.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Price comparison: The draw’s 99-cent Polymarket price and 14-cent Kalshi price produce an 85-cent spread in the reported snapshot.
  • Contract comparability: CoinStats’ settlement caveat matters: the gap is not, by itself, evidence of conflicting expectations about an identically defined outcome.
  • Timing: The board update and the match’s November 5 resolution date provide the relevant context; the supplied material does not establish how prices changed afterward.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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  1. Source
    CoinStats
    Publisher
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