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Chiang Wan-an leads Taipei mayor market as venue prices diverge

CoinStats lists the Taipei Mayor Election among the markets priced on both venues in its November 5 browse snapshot. Chiang Wan-an is the favourite, priced 4 cents cheaper on Kalshi than on Polymarket ahead of the November 28, 2026 resolution.

The Taipei Mayor Election market recorded 261,000 dollars in trading over 24 hours, with Chiang Wan-an favoured on both Polymarket and Kalshi, according to CoinStats.

The CoinStats report, published Nov 5, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, places the contest among markets available on both venues in its November 5 browse snapshot.

A four-cent difference between venues

Chiang Wan-an was priced at 73 cents on Polymarket and 69 cents on Kalshi, according to CoinStats. That put his Kalshi price 4 cents below the corresponding Polymarket price.

Both venues therefore identified the same favourite, but at different prices. The supplied snapshot does not include earlier prices, so it does not establish whether that gap was widening or narrowing.

Resolution ahead

The market is scheduled to resolve on November 28, 2026. The November 5 snapshot captures pricing ahead of that date, rather than an election outcome.

The supplied material does not break down the 261,000 dollars in trading by venue or provide prices for other candidates, limiting comparisons beyond Chiang Wan-an’s quoted contracts.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Same favourite, different pricing: Chiang Wan-an led on both venues, with a 4-cent gap between the quoted prices.
  • Volume lacks a venue breakdown: The reported 24-hour total does not establish how trading activity was distributed between Polymarket and Kalshi.
  • A snapshot, not a trend: The available figures show November 5 pricing ahead of the November 28, 2026 resolution, without a price history to explain the divergence.
KalshiPolymarketElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    CoinStats
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