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Bitcoin threshold contract reaches 96.9% in sharp Polymarket repricing

PolymarketTrader ranks the daily Bitcoin price contract third on its 24-hour biggest-movers watchlist in its November 5 snapshot, generated from the Polymarket Gamma API. The market traded 56,000 dollars in 24 hours, with 52,700 dollars in liquidity.

A Polymarket contract on whether Bitcoin would be above $78,000 on November 5 rose 73.4 percentage points to 96.9%, according to PolymarketTrader. The update was published on November 5, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET.

A leading daily mover

PolymarketTrader placed the daily Bitcoin price contract third on its watchlist of the biggest moves over 24 hours. The ranking appeared in its November 5 snapshot.

The snapshot was generated using the Polymarket Gamma API, according to PolymarketTrader. The reported 96.9% figure describes the contract’s market-implied probability, not a confirmed outcome for Bitcoin’s price.

Trading activity and liquidity

The contract recorded $56,000 in trading volume over 24 hours, alongside $52,700 in liquidity. Those figures provide context for the repricing but do not establish what drove it.

The supplied summary does not include Bitcoin’s spot price or the contract’s precise settlement criteria. It therefore supports a picture of a substantial shift in market expectations, rather than verification that the threshold had been met.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Expectations shifted sharply: The 73.4-percentage-point increase left the contract at 96.9%, indicating strong market pricing in favor of the above-$78,000 outcome.
  • Activity and liquidity are distinct: The $56,000 measures trading over 24 hours; the $52,700 is the reported liquidity figure.
  • Resolution remains separate from pricing: The November 5 snapshot records market expectations, not a settlement result.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
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