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Toronto temperature contract reaches 100 percent after sharp Polymarket move

PredScope lists the Toronto temperature contract among the largest probability changes of the last 24 hours in its November 5 insights snapshot. The market traded 22,000 dollars in 24 hours.

A Polymarket contract tied to Toronto’s highest temperature on November 4 rose 94.5 percentage points to 100 percent, according to PredScope.

The contract was among the biggest movers in PredScope’s November 5 insights snapshot, which ranked probability changes over the preceding 24 hours.

Trading activity and missing details

The market recorded 22,000 dollars in trading volume over 24 hours, according to PredScope. The supplied summary was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET.

The summary does not identify the temperature outcome covered by the contract or provide its settlement status. The reported 100 percent therefore describes the market probability, rather than independently confirming a weather observation or final resolution.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 94.5-point increase put the Toronto contract among PredScope’s largest probability changes for the last 24 hours.
  • The 22,000 dollars in turnover provides a measure of trading activity, but the summary offers no detail on liquidity or individual trades.
  • Without the outcome definition or settlement status, readers cannot determine from this snapshot alone exactly which temperature proposition reached 100 percent.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredScope
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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