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Democrats lead 2028 party market as Kalshi and Polymarket prices diverge

DeFi Rate's odds page, on its Oct. 31 read with latest observation at Oct. 31, 10:09 AM ET, prices the 2028 party-winner market at 63% for the Democrats, a 3.0-point…

DeFi Rate’s odds page put Democrats at 63% in the 2028 party-winner market on its Oct. 31 read, according to the supplied DeFi Rate summary.

Two platforms, different prices

The supplied headline lists Kalshi at 61.5c and Polymarket at 64.5c for the Democratic outcome. Both prices favor Democrats, though Polymarket’s is higher.

The two platform prices are 3.0 cents apart. That comparison describes a difference between venues, not evidence of a change in either platform’s price over time.

Timing and limits of the snapshot

The latest observation cited in the summary was Oct. 31, 10:09 AM ET. The item was published Oct 31, 2026, at 1:24 PM ET, so the observation preceded publication.

The supplied summary is truncated and includes no source links. It does not explain how DeFi Rate derives the 63% figure or provide further context for the platform difference.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Directional agreement: The 63% reading and both platform prices favor a Democratic win in the 2028 party-winner market.
  • Venue differences matter: Kalshi’s 61.5c and Polymarket’s 64.5c are distinct quotes; the headline probability should not be treated as a uniform price across platforms.
  • This is a snapshot, not a trend: The supplied material supports a comparison at the cited observation, but not a conclusion about momentum or subsequent trading.
PredictionMarketsKalshiPolymarketElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source 1
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.
  2. Source 2
    Polymarketpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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