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Republican odds narrow in NC-13 as Polymarket pricing drops to 56 percent

PredictionBubbles showed the Republican win market for the NC-13 House seat down 11.5 points in 24 hours to 56.0 percent on Polymarket, with 44,000 dollars traded in the last day. The market has traded 153,000 dollars over its life and resolves on November 4, 2026.

The Polymarket contract for a Republican Party victory in the NC-13 House seat fell 11.5 percentage points over 24 hours to 56.0 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.

The update, published Oct 31, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, left the Republican outcome above 50 percent despite the decline.

Trading activity and resolution

Trading totaled 44,000 dollars over the last day, according to PredictionBubbles. Lifetime volume reached 153,000 dollars, putting the latest day’s activity at more than a quarter of the market’s total.

The market resolves on November 4, 2026. The supplied summary gives no explanation for the price move and includes no polling or campaign developments that would establish its cause.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A smaller Republican edge: The 56.0 percent price still favors a Republican win, but the 11.5-point decline represents a substantial shift in the market’s assessment over 24 hours.
  • Volume provides context, not a cause: The 44,000 dollars traded in the last day indicates activity accompanying the move; it does not establish why traders repriced the outcome.
  • Resolution is approaching: November 4, 2026, is the stated resolution date. The current price reflects market expectations, not a confirmed election result.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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