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Polymarket odds of October Bitcoin slide to $75,000 drop sharply

PredictionBubbles showed the Bitcoin dip to 75,000 dollars in October market down 14.1 points in 24 hours to 1.1 percent on Polymarket, with 196,000 dollars traded in the last day. The market has traded 1.3 million dollars over its life and resolves on November 1, 2026.

The Polymarket contract on whether Bitcoin would dip to $75,000 in October fell to 1.1%, according to PredictionBubbles. Its implied probability declined 14.1 percentage points over 24 hours.

The update was published on Oct 31, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, with the market scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.

Trading activity ahead of resolution

PredictionBubbles recorded $196,000 in trading over the last day. Total volume across the market’s lifetime stood at $1.3 million.

The figures show a sharp repricing ahead of resolution. The supplied summary does not identify what drove the move or provide Bitcoin’s current price.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 1.1% implied probability indicates that the market assigned a low likelihood to the specified October dip; it does not establish the final outcome.
  • The 14.1-percentage-point decline measures a change in contract odds, not a change in Bitcoin’s price.
  • The November 1, 2026 resolution date is the next stated milestone. The summary does not include the contract’s detailed settlement criteria.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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