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Washington win at least 9 games priced at 18c on Kalshi, up 26c, the board's second-biggest 24-hour mover

PredictionMarketPicks' Kalshi leaderboard, on its Nov. 3, 4:53 AM EST snapshot across 315 priced contracts in 19 series, ranks the Washington pro football win-total…

Byron Donalds remained the favorite in Kalshi’s Florida Governor winner market, but his implied probability fell from 78% to 63% over seven days, according to DeFi Rate’s biggest-moves list.

The 15-percentage-point decline was the board’s second-biggest weekly move. That ranking describes the size of the change, rather than Donalds’ position relative to other candidates.

A narrower lead in probability terms

The figures appeared in a live-board reading referenced in the update published Nov 3, 2026, at 4:54 AM ET. At 63%, the contract still placed Donalds above the 50% threshold despite the week’s retreat.

The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst or provide rival candidates’ prices, trading volume or liquidity. It therefore documents a substantial repricing without establishing what drove it or how broadly traders participated.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Direction and level differ: Donalds remained the favorite even as his contract recorded a 15-point weekly decline.
  • The ranking has limits: The second-biggest weekly move signals a large change on the observed board, not a corresponding change in polling or election results.
  • Context is incomplete: Without competing prices or trading activity, the snapshot alone cannot establish whether the retreat reflects a durable shift in expectations.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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