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Denver leads Taylor trade betting as Kalshi volume tops $1.3 million

The New York Post reports Kalshi traders price the Denver Broncos at 29 percent to land running back Jonathan Taylor ahead of the November 10 NFL trade deadline, followed by the Seattle Seahawks at 22 percent, the Minnesota Vikings and Indianapolis Colts at 17 percent each, and the New York Giants at 16 percent. The market has drawn more than 1.3 million dollars in volume since it opened on October 20, after reports that the Colts would listen to trade talks.

Kalshi traders have put the Denver Broncos ahead of other listed teams in the market for running back Jonathan Taylor’s next team, according to the New York Post. Denver’s implied probability stands at 29 percent ahead of the November 10 NFL trade deadline.

Seattle follows Denver in the pricing

The Seattle Seahawks are priced at 22 percent, followed by the Minnesota Vikings and Indianapolis Colts at 17 percent each. The New York Giants stand at 16 percent, according to the New York Post.

Those prices make Denver the leading listed outcome, but not a majority-probability destination. Indianapolis remains among the priced outcomes, alongside the teams that could acquire Taylor.

Trading volume passes $1.3 million

The market has attracted more than $1.3 million in trading volume since opening on October 20, according to the New York Post. Its launch followed reports that the Colts would listen to trade talks.

The pricing snapshot was reported on Nov 3, 2026, at 7:15 AM ET. With the November 10 deadline approaching, the figures reflect traders’ expectations rather than confirmation of a deal.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A leader, not a consensus: Denver’s 29 percent price puts it ahead of Seattle at 22 percent, while leaving substantial uncertainty about Taylor’s destination.
  • Indianapolis remains in contention: The Colts’ 17 percent pricing means the market has not ruled out Taylor remaining with his current team.
  • Volume is distinct from certainty: More than $1.3 million has traded, but that activity does not establish that a trade will occur or identify its destination.
KalshiNFLInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    New York Post
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