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Novak dominates Mexico Open market after sharp seven-day repricing

Andrew Novak rose from 2 percent to 89 percent over seven days in the VidantaWorld Mexico Open winner market, the biggest seven-day move on the DeFi Rate board, with Doug Ghim priced at 3.3 cents and Matthieu Pavon at 3.1 cents.

Andrew Novak’s implied chance of winning the VidantaWorld Mexico Open climbed from 2 percent to 89 percent over seven days, according to DeFi Rate. His Kalshi contract was priced at 89 cents.

That shift was the largest seven-day move on the DeFi Rate board, placing Novak well ahead of the other named contenders in the supplied market snapshot.

Trading activity and rival prices

The winner market recorded 712,000 dollars in trading over 24 hours, according to DeFi Rate. The report was published Nov 1, 2026, at 2:15 AM ET.

Doug Ghim was priced at 3.3 cents and Matthieu Pavon at 3.1 cents. Both stood far below Novak, though the supplied summary does not include the full field’s prices or explain what drove the repricing.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Novak’s rise from 2 percent to 89 percent represents an 87-percentage-point change in implied probability over seven days—not a confirmed tournament result.
  • The 712,000 dollars traded measures activity across the winner market over 24 hours; the summary does not specify how much involved Novak’s contract.
  • Ghim’s and Pavon’s prices show a substantial gap behind Novak. Without the remaining contenders’ prices or tournament context, the snapshot offers a limited basis for assessing that gap.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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