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Kalshi’s busiest contract puts Bitcoin’s next move under a short clock

The contract for the 2:45 AM window is the most traded Kalshi market in the PredictionMarketPicks snapshot at 2:36 AM EST on November 1, priced at 66 cents with 224,268 contracts in open interest.

A contract on whether Bitcoin’s price will rise over the next 15 minutes led Kalshi trading in a snapshot from PredictionMarketPicks. The market recorded 143,820 contracts traded over 24 hours and was priced at 66 cents.

A snapshot ahead of the window

The contract covered the 2:45 AM window. PredictionMarketPicks captured the figures at 2:36 AM EST on November 1, placing the observation before that window.

Open interest stood at 224,268 contracts, according to PredictionMarketPicks. That figure measures a different aspect of market activity from the reported 24-hour trading volume and should not be read as an additional trade count.

Price and timing matter

The item was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 3:00 AM ET. The supplied figures describe the earlier snapshot, rather than establishing the contract’s price or trading rank at publication.

The 66-cent price indicates the market’s pricing of the upward-move outcome at the observation time. The supplied material does not include a subsequent price, the contract’s resolution or detailed settlement terms.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Activity was concentrated in a short-horizon Bitcoin market: The contract ranked as Kalshi’s most traded market in the PredictionMarketPicks snapshot, with 143,820 contracts traded in 24 hours.
  • Volume and open interest are distinct: The 224,268-contract open-interest figure should be assessed separately from trading turnover.
  • The timestamp limits the signal: The 66-cent price belongs to the 2:36 AM EST snapshot for the 2:45 AM window; it does not establish the eventual outcome.
KalshiBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionMarketPicks
    Publisher
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