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Iran invasion contract leads tracked markets with $76.1 million traded

Of the 443 markets tracked across Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless in the PicksByOdds daily note for November 1, the United States invade Iran before 2027 market on Polymarket has the most trading volume at 76,103,048 dollars and sits at 17 cents, with 61 days left before it closes.

A Polymarket contract asking whether the United States will invade Iran before 2027 has the highest trading volume among 443 markets covered in PicksByOdds’ November 1 daily note, according to PicksByOdds.

The contract stands at 17 cents, with trading volume of $76,103,048 and 61 days remaining before it closes.

Trading activity leads the tracked field

PicksByOdds’ coverage spans Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless. The volume ranking places the Iran invasion contract first within that tracked group, rather than establishing a lead across every available prediction market.

The note was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 3:00 AM ET. Its snapshot identifies both substantial trading activity and a price below the midpoint, but provides no earlier prices or volume comparisons from which to establish a trend.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Volume and price convey different signals: The $76,103,048 total establishes the contract’s trading-volume lead in the tracked group; it does not itself indicate that an invasion is likely.
  • The deadline matters: With 61 days left before closing, the contract concerns a specific outcome before 2027, not an open-ended assessment of United States–Iran relations.
  • The snapshot has limits: PicksByOdds supplies the 17-cent price and volume ranking, but the provided material does not include resolution criteria or a price history.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PicksByOdds
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