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Kalshi Bitcoin threshold contract opens at 29.0% with limited trading

PredictionBubbles' new-markets list, on its Nov. 1, 07:55 UTC live read, shows the $92,500 Bitcoin trimmed-mean strike among the newest markets on the board, opened…

A Kalshi contract tied to Bitcoin’s trimmed mean exceeding $92,500 by November 30, 2026 was priced at 29.0%, with $3K traded, according to the supplied market update.

PredictionBubbles’ new-markets list placed the $92,500 Bitcoin trimmed-mean strike among the board’s newest markets in its Nov. 1, 07:55 UTC live read. The supplied update carries a publication timestamp of Nov 1, 2026 · 2:54 AM ET.

A new listing with limited detail

The 29.0% price puts the specified outcome below an even chance in market-implied terms. The $3K trading total provides a measure of activity, but the supplied material offers no price history to show whether expectations have shifted.

The contract concerns a trimmed-mean measure, rather than simply a quoted Bitcoin price. The available summary does not provide the calculation method, observation window or full settlement rules, limiting how precisely readers can interpret the threshold.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Read the outcome narrowly: The $92,500 threshold applies to the contract’s trimmed-mean measure; a spot-price crossing alone may not establish the result.
  • Separate price from conviction: The 29.0% quote and $3K traded describe the reported snapshot, not a demonstrated trend.
  • Check settlement details: The missing calculation and resolution terms matter when assessing what must happen by November 30, 2026.
PredictionMarketsKalshiBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source 1
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.
  2. Source 2
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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