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Bitcoin year-end range contract shows six-cent split across two venues

Rivo lists the Bitcoin end-of-2026 band among the widest cross-venue gaps in its November 5 reading, priced at 4 cents on Polymarket US against 10 cents on Kalshi. Prices were read at 9:36 AM ET on November 5.

A contract on Bitcoin ending 2026 between 90,000 and 95,000 dollars was priced at 4 cents on Polymarket US and 10 cents on Kalshi, according to Rivo.

A gap in the November 5 snapshot

The two prices represent a 6-point difference. Rivo placed the Bitcoin end-of-2026 band among the widest cross-venue gaps in its November 5 reading.

The prices were recorded at 9:36 AM ET on November 5, 2026. The report was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 9:45 AM ET, making the observation a timestamped comparison rather than a live price assessment.

What the comparison establishes

The supplied summary establishes the price difference but does not explain its cause. It provides no information on trading volume, available liquidity or the contracts’ settlement terms, limiting conclusions about how directly traders could act on the discrepancy.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Venue pricing differed materially: Kalshi’s 10-cent price was above Polymarket US’s 4-cent price for the stated Bitcoin year-end band.
  • Timing matters: The 6-point gap describes the 9:36 AM ET snapshot, not necessarily prices available after publication.
  • A gap alone does not establish an executable opportunity: The summary lacks the liquidity and settlement details needed to assess that question.
KalshiPolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Rivo
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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