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Ohio State championship pricing diverges sharply across two prediction venues

Rivo lists the Ohio State gap as the widest between venues in its November 5 reading, with prices read at 9:36 AM ET and refreshed every five minutes. The same outcome is priced at 4 cents on Polymarket US and 16 cents on Gemini.

The Ohio State Buckeyes College Football Championship contract showed a 12-point difference between Polymarket US and Gemini in Rivo’s November 5 reading. According to Rivo, the same outcome traded at 4 cents on Polymarket US and 16 cents on Gemini.

Largest gap in Rivo’s reading

Rivo ranked the Ohio State difference as the widest between venues in that reading. Gemini’s price was four times the price displayed on Polymarket US.

The prices were read at 9:36 AM ET, with Rivo’s readings refreshed every five minutes. The report was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 9:45 AM ET.

A snapshot of differing prices

The supplied summary establishes the size and direction of the pricing difference, but does not explain why the venues diverged. It provides no details on trading volume, available liquidity or contract settlement terms.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Venue choice changes the observed signal: The same Ohio State championship outcome was priced at 4 cents on Polymarket US versus 16 cents on Gemini.
  • Timing matters: The reported gap reflects the 9:36 AM ET reading, not necessarily prices at publication or afterward.
  • The gap alone is incomplete: Without liquidity and settlement details, the figures do not establish whether traders could execute comparable positions at those prices.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Rivo
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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