Graham’s market lead persists despite deadlocked South Carolina Senate poll
Action Network reports Darline Graham trades at 73 cents on both Polymarket and Kalshi for the South Carolina Senate race, with Annie Andrews at 28 cents, after a New York Times and Siena survey found the candidates tied at 48 percent each. The South Carolina governor market is also closely aligned, with Alan Wilson near 93 cents on each exchange.
Darline Graham is priced at 73 cents on both Polymarket and Kalshi in the South Carolina Senate race, according to Action Network. Annie Andrews stands at 28 cents, leaving a substantial market gap between the candidates.
Those prices contrast with a New York Times and Siena survey that put Graham and Andrews at 48 percent each. Action Network’s report, published Nov 1, 2026 · 10:15 PM ET, places the market readings after that tied poll.
Senate prices diverge from the polling picture
The distinction is between two different measures: the survey records voter support, while the contracts price an election outcome. Equal polling support therefore does not necessarily translate into equal market prices.
The supplied reporting does not explain why Graham retains that advantage. It also provides no earlier prices with which to measure how either exchange responded to the survey.
Governor contracts show similar cross-exchange pricing
South Carolina’s governor market is closely aligned across the two platforms as well. According to Action Network, Alan Wilson is near 93 cents on each exchange.
That gives readers two instances of similar pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi, but the supplied material includes no governor polling comparison.
What it means for prediction markets
- Polls and contracts tell different stories: Graham’s 73-cent price contrasts with the Senate survey’s 48 percent–48 percent tie.
- Platforms agree on Graham’s price: Both exchanges show 73 cents, rather than a cross-platform difference in the reported snapshot.
- The reaction remains unmeasured: Without earlier prices, the report cannot establish whether the tied poll changed market expectations.
- Governor pricing is also aligned: Wilson is near 93 cents on both exchanges, though no corresponding poll is provided.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- Action Networkactionnetwork.com
- Publisher
- https://www.actionnetwork.com
- Source URL
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Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Action Network”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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