Ether’s November price-touch odds jump sharply on Polymarket
Prediction News reports Polymarket traders assign a 92 percent probability that Ether will touch 2,300 dollars at least once during November, up 44 percentage points in 24 hours. The contract settles using one-minute Binance ETH/USDT candles and measures whether Ether touches the threshold, not whether it finishes the month above it.
Polymarket traders put the probability of Ether touching 2,300 dollars at least once during November at 92 percent, according to Prediction News.
The report, published Nov 1, 2026, at 10:30 PM ET, puts the increase at 44 percentage points in 24 hours. That marks a substantial shift in the market’s assessment of whether the threshold will be reached.
A touch, not a month-end target
The contract settles using one-minute Binance ETH/USDT candles, according to Prediction News. That specific price source and interval define the measurement used for the outcome.
The distinction is important: the contract asks whether Ether touches 2,300 dollars during November, not whether it ends the month above that level. The 92 percent probability therefore reflects expectations for a threshold event rather than a sustained price level.
What it means for prediction markets
- Read the event precisely: Odds on touching a price during a month are not interchangeable with odds on finishing the month above it.
- Settlement details matter: One-minute Binance ETH/USDT candles are the specified reference, rather than an unspecified Ether price.
- Separate the odds move from the asset move: The reported 44-percentage-point rise describes a change in the contract’s implied probability, not Ether’s price return.
Sources & attribution
- Published
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- Prediction Newspredictionnews.com
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- https://predictionnews.com
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