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Kalshi accounts for most of November 2 prediction market turnover

DeFi Rate reports 597 million dollars in contracts traded so far on November 2 across tracked prediction market venues, including 559 million dollars on Kalshi, 23 million dollars on Polymarket and 15 million dollars on Polymarket US. The partial day follows 5.56 billion dollars traded on November 1.

According to DeFi Rate, tracked prediction market venues recorded 597 million dollars in contract trading so far on November 2. The figure covers only part of the day.

Trading concentrated on Kalshi

Kalshi accounted for 559 million dollars of the reported total. Polymarket recorded 23 million dollars, while Polymarket US contributed 15 million dollars, according to DeFi Rate.

The breakdown puts Kalshi well ahead of the other two venues in reported turnover for the period. These figures measure trading activity, not the probability of any particular market outcome.

A partial-day comparison

The November 2 tally follows 5.56 billion dollars traded on November 1. Because the latest figure is incomplete, it does not establish how full-day activity will compare with the previous day.

The update carries a publication timestamp of Nov 1, 2026 · 10:45 PM ET, while identifying the running total as November 2 activity. The supplied summary does not explain the timing convention.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Venue concentration: Kalshi represents most of the turnover in this snapshot; the aggregate is not evidence of similarly sized activity across venues.
  • Comparison limits: The November 2 running total and November 1 daily figure cover different reporting periods, limiting conclusions about changes in activity.
  • No directional signal: The summary provides no contract-level prices or volumes, so it cannot show which outcomes traders are favoring.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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