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San Francisco tops Super Bowl LXI markets as Chicago gains ground

Rivo reports the Chicago Bears sit third at 12 percent on Kalshi and 10 percent on Polymarket, up 3 points in 24 hours, with Kansas City at 8 and 9 percent in its live odds comparison updated early on November 3.

San Francisco 49ers contracts lead Super Bowl LXI pricing on both Kalshi and Polymarket, according to Rivo’s live odds comparison updated early on November 3, 2026.

The 49ers stand at 16 percent on Kalshi and 14 percent on Polymarket. Buffalo follows at 14 percent and 13 percent, respectively, leaving San Francisco with a narrow lead on each platform.

Chicago ranks third after a daily rise

The Chicago Bears hold third place at 12 percent on Kalshi and 10 percent on Polymarket, according to Rivo. The summary reports a 3-point increase over 24 hours but does not specify how that move breaks down between the two venues.

Kansas City is priced at 8 percent on Kalshi and 9 percent on Polymarket. Unlike San Francisco, Buffalo and Chicago, its probability is higher on Polymarket than on Kalshi.

A snapshot across two venues

The report, published November 3, 2026, at 3:45 AM ET, shows the same ordering for the four named teams across both platforms, despite differences in their prices. The supplied summary does not identify what drove Chicago’s rise or provide prices for other teams.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The lead is limited: San Francisco is ahead of Buffalo on both venues, but its 16 percent and 14 percent prices remain well below a majority probability.
  • Venue differences matter: Kalshi assigns higher probabilities to San Francisco, Buffalo and Chicago, while Polymarket prices Kansas City higher.
  • Chicago’s move needs context: The reported 3-point daily gain marks a change in pricing, but the summary provides neither a catalyst nor a venue-specific breakdown.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Rivo
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