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Year-end S and P 500 range leads Kalshi economics trading

PredictionMarketPicks' Kalshi leaderboard snapshot at 10:33 PM ET on October 31 ranks the S and P 500 between 7,600 and 7,799.99 on December 31, 2026 first among economics contracts at 16 cents. The contract shows 1,649 contracts traded in 24 hours and about 250,000 contracts in open interest.

PredictionMarketPicks’ Kalshi leaderboard snapshot at 10:33 PM ET on October 31 placed a contract on the S and P 500’s year-end level first among economics contracts by trading activity.

The contract covers an index reading between 7,600 and 7,799.99 on December 31, 2026. Its quoted price in the snapshot was 16 cents, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

Trading activity and outstanding positions

The contract recorded 1,649 contracts traded over 24 hours, according to PredictionMarketPicks. Open interest stood at about 250,000 contracts.

The leaderboard figures provide a point-in-time view of activity rather than a price history. The supplied summary contains no earlier readings to establish whether the 16-cent price or trading volume had risen or fallen.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Activity is not conviction: The first-place economics ranking reflects trading activity, not a finding that this index range is the most likely year-end outcome.
  • The range is specific: The contract concerns 7,600 through 7,799.99 on December 31, 2026—not simply whether the S and P 500 finishes above 7,600.
  • Volume and open interest differ: The 1,649 contracts traded measure activity over 24 hours; about 250,000 contracts in open interest represent outstanding positions.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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