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Kalshi’s year-end S&P 500 threshold contract slips to 89.0%

PredictionBubbles' movers board, on the same Nov. 1, 03:11 UTC venue read, lists the above-6845.5 binary among its finance moves, in a finance category distinct from the…

According to PredictionBubbles’ movers board, the Kalshi contract asking whether the S&P 500 will be above 6845.5 on December 31, 2026 was priced at 89.0%, down 2.0 percentage points, with $1.5M traded.

A finance-market move with limited context

PredictionBubbles listed the binary contract among its finance moves in a separate finance category. The supplied summary places the venue reading at Nov. 1, 03:11 UTC.

The item’s publication timestamp was Oct 31, 2026 · 11:54 PM ET. Those timestamps distinguish the cited market observation from the publication time.

The supplied material contains no source links or full report. It does not identify a catalyst for the decline, specify the comparison period for the 2.0-point move, or give a measurement window for the $1.5M traded.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 89.0% price indicates that an above-6845.5 outcome remained strongly favored despite the decline. It is a market price, not a guaranteed result.
  • The contract concerns a specific threshold on December 31, 2026—not simply whether the S&P 500 rises or falls.
  • The $1.5M traded provides activity context, but the supplied information does not establish current liquidity or explain the price change.
PredictionMarketsKalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source 1
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.
  2. Source 2
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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