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Kalshi pricing puts Bitcoin’s $50,000 downside threshold at 10 cents

The contract held 587,000 contracts in open interest in the October 31 snapshot. The below 55,000 dollar contract was priced higher, at 14 cents.

Bitcoin downside contracts

The Kalshi contract on Bitcoin falling below $50,000 by January 1 was priced at 10 cents, according to PredictionMarketPicks. That was one cent higher than 24 hours earlier.

The report was published on Oct 31, 2026, at 11:45 PM ET. Its October 31 snapshot showed 587,000 contracts in open interest for the below-$50,000 contract.

A higher price for the $55,000 threshold

The below-$55,000 contract stood at 14 cents, according to PredictionMarketPicks. That put it four cents above the price of the below-$50,000 contract.

The supplied snapshot provides a 24-hour price change only for the $50,000 threshold. It does not establish whether the gap between the two contracts widened or narrowed over that period.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The below-$50,000 contract rose from 9 cents to 10 cents over 24 hours, marking an increase in its market price.
  • The 14-cent price for the below-$55,000 contract placed the higher Bitcoin threshold above the lower one in the snapshot.
  • Open interest of 587,000 contracts measures outstanding positions, not trading volume during the preceding 24 hours.
KalshiBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionMarketPicks
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