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Puma Shen’s Taipei mayoral odds slip amid active Polymarket trading

The contract eased 1.8 points in PolymarketTrader's November 5 biggest-movers snapshot, with 137,700 dollars in liquidity. It was among the snapshot's most traded political markets outside the United States.

Polymarket priced Puma Shen at a 31.1 percent chance of winning the next Taipei mayoral election, according to PolymarketTrader’s November 5 biggest-movers snapshot.

The contract declined 1.8 points in that snapshot. The report was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 12:15 AM ET.

Trading activity and liquidity

Trading volume reached 187,100 dollars over 24 hours, while liquidity stood at 137,700 dollars, according to PolymarketTrader.

The contract ranked among the snapshot’s most traded political markets outside the United States. The supplied summary did not identify a catalyst for the decline or provide prices for other candidates.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 31.1 percent price represents the market’s implied probability for a Shen victory, not an election result or polling estimate.
  • The 1.8-point decline shows a downward repricing in the snapshot, but the available information does not establish why traders changed their assessments.
  • The 187,100 dollars in daily volume and 137,700 dollars in liquidity describe different aspects of market activity; neither figure alone establishes the forecast’s accuracy.
PolymarketElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
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    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
    Source URL
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