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Prediction market turnover reaches $6.0 billion as Democratic Senate odds rise

DeFi Rate reports 6.0 billion dollars traded in the last 24 hours across nine prediction market exchanges, with contracts counted at 1 dollar each. Its November 1 snapshot at 9:50 PM ET also showed Senate control for Democrats up 6 points on the week to about 71 percent across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Prediction markets recorded 6.0 billion dollars in trading over the last 24 hours across nine exchanges, according to DeFi Rate. The reported total counts contracts at 1 dollar each.

The figures offer a snapshot of aggregate activity alongside a weekly shift in pricing for Democratic control of the Senate. They do not provide an exchange-by-exchange breakdown.

Senate pricing moves toward Democrats

DeFi Rate’s November 1 snapshot, taken at 9:50 PM ET, put Democratic Senate control at about 71 percent across Kalshi and Polymarket. That was up 6 points on the week.

The report was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 10:15 PM ET. The nine-exchange trading total and the Senate pricing across Kalshi and Polymarket cover different scopes; the supplied figures do not identify how much turnover came from Senate contracts.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Counting method matters: The 6.0 billion dollars in reported activity uses a value of 1 dollar per contract, a convention readers should retain when comparing volume figures.
  • The Senate move is weekly: Democratic control stood at about 71 percent, up 6 points on the week—not necessarily over the 24-hour trading window.
  • Aggregate volume does not establish contract-level activity: The snapshot does not show how trading was distributed among the nine exchanges or how much was tied to Senate control.
KalshiPolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
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