Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Bitcoin’s November $77,500 outcome draws roughly 90% pricing on Polymarket

Blockchain.com's prediction markets board shows the outcome for Bitcoin hitting 77,500 dollars in November priced at about 90 percent, with 728,000 dollars in volume ahead of the December 1 resolution. A related market put Bitcoin above 70,000 dollars on November 2 at near certainty.

According to Blockchain.com, Polymarket traders priced the outcome of Bitcoin hitting $77,500 in November at about 90 percent. The snapshot was published Nov 1, 2026, at 11:30 PM ET.

Two thresholds, different time horizons

Blockchain.com’s prediction markets board showed $728,000 in volume for the November outcome, ahead of its December 1 resolution. The quoted probability reflects market pricing, not confirmation that Bitcoin will reach the threshold.

A related market priced Bitcoin being above $70,000 on November 2 at near certainty, according to Blockchain.com. That contract concerns a specific day rather than a threshold being reached during November.

The two prices therefore address different questions. Expectations that Bitcoin will remain above $70,000 on November 2 do not conflict with a high probability of it hitting $77,500 during November.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Keep the event definitions separate: Hitting $77,500 during November is distinct from being above $70,000 on November 2.
  • Distinguish the observation window from resolution: The November threshold market is scheduled to resolve on December 1.
  • Treat pricing as an estimate: About 90 percent and near certainty describe traders’ assessments at the reported snapshot, not guaranteed outcomes.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Blockchain.comblockchain.com
    Publisher
    https://blockchain.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Blockchain.com”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related