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Polymarket puts Bitcoin’s $45,000 downside contract at 3.6% amid heavy trading

PredictionBubbles' crypto board, read live Nov. 1 at about 11:26 PM ET across 224 open crypto markets, ranks the $45,000 dip contract second among its most-traded crypto…

Polymarket’s contract on whether Bitcoin will dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026 was priced at 3.6%, down 0.2 percentage points, according to a PredictionBubbles summary published Nov 1, 2026 at 11:24 PM ET.

Trading volume stood at $9.0M, putting the contract second among the most-traded crypto markets on PredictionBubbles’ board.

Low probability, substantial turnover

The summary describes a live reading of the board on Nov. 1 at about 11:26 PM ET, covering 224 open crypto markets. That breadth provides context for the contract’s trading-volume ranking.

The figures show a low market-implied probability alongside substantial trading activity. The supplied summary does not identify what drove the 0.2-point decline or specify the comparison period for that move.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 3.6% price reflects market pricing for a dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026—not a forecast of Bitcoin’s closing price on that date.
  • The $9.0M traded and second-place volume ranking indicate activity, but do not establish why participants traded or how their views differed.
  • The supplied material does not include settlement rules or source links, limiting assessment of the precise conditions required for resolution.
PredictionMarketsPolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source 1
    Polymarketpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.
  2. Source 2
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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