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Iran invasion contract tops PicksByOdds trading tracker at $76.1 million

PicksByOdds' November 1 daily note says the market asking whether the United States will invade Iran before 2027 is the most traded of the 443 markets it tracks across Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless, with 76.1 million dollars in volume. The market was priced at 17 cents with 61 days left before it closes.

A Polymarket contract asking whether the United States will invade Iran before 2027 led trading volume in PicksByOdds’ November 1 daily note. The contract recorded 76.1 million dollars in volume, according to PicksByOdds.

The ranking covered 443 markets tracked across Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless. Its lead therefore applies to that tracked group, rather than an exhaustive ranking of prediction markets.

Price and time remaining

PicksByOdds listed the contract at 17 cents, with 61 days remaining before its close. The note paired the largest volume in its tracked universe with a price well below the contract’s midpoint.

The supplied publication timestamp was Nov 1, 2026 · 11:30 PM ET. The figures provide a snapshot of activity and pricing; the summary does not include earlier prices or volume comparisons over time.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Volume and likelihood are different measures: The 76.1 million dollars establishes the contract’s trading lead within the tracker, not a corresponding probability of an invasion.
  • The ranking has a defined scope: PicksByOdds compared 443 markets across three platforms; the summary does not establish a market-wide volume record.
  • Timing matters: The 17-cent price was reported with 61 days left. Without a price history, the snapshot cannot show whether expectations were rising or falling.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PicksByOdds
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PicksByOdds”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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