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Congressional control markets lead Polymarket’s $8.9 million in large trades

Rivo reports large Polymarket trades totaled 8.9 million dollars in the last 24 hours across 418 large trades from 294 wallets in profit, updated on November 3 at 6:34 AM ET. The Republican Senate and Republican House balance of power outcome drew the most whale money at 3.1 million dollars, followed by the Democratic Party House control market at 2.4 million dollars and the Bears against Seahawks NFL market at 1.4 million dollars.

Large trades on Polymarket amounted to $8.9 million over the last 24 hours, according to Rivo. Its update, dated November 3 at 6:34 AM ET, counted 418 large trades from 294 wallets in profit.

The figures were published on Nov 3, 2026, at 8:45 AM ET. They describe activity among the tracked large traders, rather than a measure of market-wide probabilities.

Congressional outcomes attract the largest flows

The balance-of-power outcome pairing a Republican Senate with a Republican House attracted the most whale money, at $3.1 million, according to Rivo.

The Democratic Party House control market followed with $2.4 million. The summary does not specify the direction of those trades, so the totals alone do not establish whether large traders were buying or selling either congressional outcome.

NFL market also draws substantial activity

The Bears against Seahawks NFL market ranked next, drawing $1.4 million in whale money, according to Rivo. It was the leading sports market among the three markets identified in the summary.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Congressional control dominated the reported large-trade rankings, making those markets a focal point for monitoring whale activity.
  • Dollar flows measure trading activity, not outcome probabilities. Without trade direction or prices, the figures do not establish a bullish or bearish signal.
  • The 418 trades came from 294 wallets in profit; those wallet and trade counts should not be treated as independent forecasts.
PolymarketNFLSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    Rivo
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