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Masterson leads Kansas betting markets as final poll favors Holscher

Action Network reports Masterson trades at 65 cents on Polymarket and 66 cents on Kalshi against Holscher at 36 cents on both venues, even though the final New York Times and Siena College poll had Holscher ahead 48 to 47 percent and other recent polls are split between the two candidates.

Prediction markets favor Ty Masterson in the Kansas governor race, despite a narrow polling lead for Cindy Holscher. According to Action Network, Masterson trades at 65 cents on Polymarket and 66 cents on Kalshi, while Holscher trades at 36 cents on both platforms.

Market pricing diverges from the final poll

The figures, reported Nov 3, 2026, at 10:30 AM ET, show a similar preference for Masterson across the two venues. His price differs by just one cent between platforms; Holscher’s is identical.

The final New York Times and Siena College poll points in the opposite direction, putting Holscher at 48 percent and Masterson at 47 percent, according to Action Network. That gives Holscher a one-percentage-point advantage in that survey.

Other recent polls are split between the two candidates, Action Network reports. The available summary does not provide their individual results or explain why market prices favor Masterson despite the final poll’s finding.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The market favorite is not the final poll leader. Both platforms price Masterson above Holscher, while the New York Times and Siena College survey places Holscher narrowly ahead.
  • The platforms largely agree. Masterson’s 65-cent Polymarket price and 66-cent Kalshi price show little cross-platform divergence; Holscher is at 36 cents on each.
  • The polling picture remains mixed. With other recent surveys split between the candidates, the supplied reporting does not establish a consistent polling advantage for either contender.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Action Networkactionnetwork.com
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    https://www.actionnetwork.com
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