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Bitcoin outcomes approach even split in Polymarket US settlement tally

PredictionMarketPicks says its ledger of Polymarket US five-minute Bitcoin windows counts 2,903 settled windows from October 22 to November 1, 2026, of which 49.9 percent settled Up, with 11,607 settled windows across all four coins. Polymarket US opens a new Bitcoin window every five minutes, 288 a day, and settles each window on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream.

According to PredictionMarketPicks, its ledger recorded 2,903 settled Polymarket US five-minute Bitcoin windows from October 22 to November 1, 2026. Of those windows, 49.9 percent settled Up.

The figures appeared in an update published Nov 1, 2026 · 5:30 PM ET. They describe completed outcomes in the ledger, rather than a forecast for subsequent windows.

Settlement cadence and coverage

Polymarket US starts a Bitcoin window every five minutes, amounting to 288 windows a day, according to PredictionMarketPicks. Each window settles using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream.

Across all four coins, PredictionMarketPicks counted 11,607 settled windows. The supplied summary identifies Bitcoin but does not name the other three coins or give their individual settlement results.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Bitcoin’s 49.9 percent Up share places the recorded outcomes close to an even split over the stated period; it does not establish the probability of the next outcome.
  • The five-minute cadence creates 288 separate Bitcoin windows daily, making the settlement interval important when interpreting the tally.
  • Chainlink BTC/USD is the specified settlement reference. The broader count of 11,607 windows covers all four coins and should not be treated as a Bitcoin-only sample.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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